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Petroleum Economics: Issues and Strategies of Oil and Natural Gas Production.

By Moroney, John R.
Publication: The Energy Journal
Date: Friday, October 1 1999

by ROGNVALDUR HANNESSON. (Westport, CT: Quorum Books, 1998), 163 pages. ISBN 1-56720-220-9.

This is a short book of high quality. Rognvaldur Hannesson prepared it from a course in petroleum economics he has given for several years at the Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration. Chapter

1 reviews the vital role of oil in industrial countries. Hannesson rightly states "Oil in modern society is like blood in the human body. Without it modern society as we know it would cease to exist." Chapter 2 discusses world markets for oil, natural gas, and coal. Here Hannesson analyses substitution among fossil fuels induced by changes in their relative prices. He reviews world trade in oil and gas, and the heavy dependence of the United States, Western Europe, and Pacific Asia on imported oil. Of course the Middle East is the largest oil exporting region, followed by Africa and the Former Soviet Union. The international market for natural gas is much smaller than that for oil, and Hannesson explains why. He also reviews the geographic distribution of oil and gas reserves and production. In 1996, the Middle Eastern countries held 65% of the world's oil reserves, North America (including Mexico) 8.3%, South and Central America, 7.6%, and Western Europe a scant 2.0%.

Chapter 3 focuses on natural gas. Hannesson clearly spells out the costs of transporting natural gas by pipeline and in liquified form over varying distances. Average and marginal costs increase linearly with increasing distance.

How do unit costs vary with different volumes shipped a given distance? Most of the cost of transporting gas by pipeline is fixed capital cost. In the United States, for example, fixed costs of acquiring land and laying the pipeline account for more than 90% of total transportation costs. The consequence is straightforward: Declining average fixed cost combines with decreasing average variable cost of larger volumes to create a natural monopoly in gas transmission. These cost conditions create an opportunity for transmission companies to charge their customers a two-part tariff: The first fee is the customers' payment to use the pipeline (an access fee); the second is payment for shipping costs.

As a regulated monopoly, a pipeline company sold a "bundle" of services to its customers: transportation, storage, and the gas itself. However, as gas markets have become deregulated in the United States and United Kingdom, pipeline companies were required to unbundle these services to make clear what costs are due to transportation, storage, and the gas itself. Hannesson discusses in clear English and then in simple linear models how unbundling has been achieved and how it works.

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