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How Much Will the Economic Stimulus Package Help You?

Monday, February 11 2008

The big news is that Congress passed an economic stimulus package at the end of last week. Differences between the House version and the Senate version of the economic stimulus package have been worked out, and President Bush is expected to sign the bill.

But will it help you? Admittedly, a tax rebate sounds nice. Just think about what you could do, even with just the $300 minimum. Unfortunately, for many it won't help a great deal. And while polls show that most Americans plan to pay down credit card debt with the money, practical experience tells us that they usually do just what the government wants them to: Spend it.

Spending it won't be helpful in terms of your personal finance situation. Even if this economic stimulus package does shorten -- or prevent altogether -- a US recession, your personal finance situation demands better. If you do have credit card debt, put the tax rebate toward it. And save a little bit too.

Others that will benefit include those looking to buy homes in high-priced markets. In many markets, the homes are too expensive to qualify for Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae. And FHA insurance isn't possible. The economic stimulus package temporarily raises limits to above $700,000 for the highest-priced real estate markets. This could start a comeback in some areas, but most folks living in more reasonably priced areas of the country won't see much change in the real estate market.

Overall, the economic stimulus package won't really help the economy in the long term. It may give you a quick personal finance boost, and it may bring the economy back to a measure of reasonable growth. But such superficial efforts to fix things quickly and instill "confidence" do not show underlying financial fundamentals. Which means that the economy will become more unstable in the long run, and in a few years we'll be right back at this point.

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I agree with you about all the short term fixes that seem to be going on...the Fed cutting interest rates, the economic stimulus package, etc., but since the government actually seems like they are trying to help, I say it's about time. There are many things they could have done a while back to help offset where we are right now, but trying to get something passed from the House and the Senate seems to be increasingly difficult. All the bi-partisanship talk that you hear about really doesn't occur anywhere but out of the mouths of legislators when they are on a stage. I seem to recall a time when they all stood on the steps of the Capital and sang in unison to give the country a feeling of solidarity. Why does it take a national disaster to pull our legislators together and work for the greater good of our nation? I for one am glad to see them doing SOMETHING together. Even if it is a quick fix. Maybe it could lead to something that really will help??
By: Kim Shuford on 2/11/08 at 1:34 PM
The NY Times had an interesting op-ed piece the other week about another problem with the rebate that comes with the stimulus package. A behavior scientist from the University of Chicago wrote about the problem with calling the money a "rebate," which implies that it's a return of money already spent. He points to studies that show how differently people view a sum of money when it's called a "bonus" instead. "Rebate," like "refund," doesn't invite spending just because we classify that money differently. (You can see the article here: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/31/opinion/31epley.html) ...
By: Ghislaine on 2/12/08 at 12:57 PM
One of the things I like about you, Kim, is your optimism. You're right, in the short-term, these steps will probably help. And who knows, it could prod us to take more long-term steps. Time will tell. I agree that it is nice to see SOMEONE trying to do SOMETHING. Hopefully we'll focus on prevention from here on out.

I do agree that it would be nice to see some true bi-partisanship again.
By: Miranda Marquit on 2/13/08 at 10:45 AM
I like this thought. Sometimes what it's called can help. And if calling it a rebate means that we use it more wisely on an individual basis, I'm all for it. Calling it a bonus will only encourage people to use the money unwisely...
By: Miranda Marquit on 2/13/08 at 10:47 AM
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