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Iowa/New Hampshire winter book: TIE asked six experts how the early stages of the 2004...

Kerry, Edwards, and Gephardt have a small edge over the others 

JOHN SEARS 
Campaign manager for President Reagan

If the past is prologue, we will know the Democratic nominee for president by March 1, 2004. While the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary are often described as the beginning of the nomination race, in fact these two events mark the culmination of the process. After these two encounters, a clear frontrunner emerges whose advantages in raising money, securing endorsements, and earning superior publicity ensure his ultimate success even th

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