- Global uncertainty weighs onEurope.
This year should see a downturn in the Euro Area's economic growth. After peaking at 2 3/4 per cent in 2006 and 2007, real GDP growth is projected to slow down to around 2 per cent over the forecast period. Private investment and external trade will be the two main ......
- Sources of the current low-inflation environment in
manufacturing.
The mechanism by which lower rates of inflation spread through the economy is not well understood. It is clear that the Federal Reserve can, within certain limits, slow the growth in the money supply relative to the economy's growth in productive capacity, reducing demand and creating disinflationary pressures. The nation's ......
- Euro Area: beating expectations?
Growth in the Euro Area looks relatively robust, with Germany performing particularly strongly. Since the April forecast, we have raised again our projections for real GDP growth in 2007 in the Euro Area to 2 3/4 per cent, around the same level as in 2006 and compared with an ......
- Euro Area: on the way to recovery and fiscal consolidation?
Recent economic indicators show that, this year, real GDP growth in the Euro Area is set to be stronger than earlier anticipated. We have accordingly revised our forecast for 2006 although the medium-term outlook remains unchanged, with yearly GDP growth remaining close to potential in 2007-08 and rising slightly above ......
- Euro Area--another cyclical
recovery?
After weakening in the fourth quarter of 2005, economic growth in the Euro Area once again points to recovery. However, as with previous economic upturns, this cycle does not reflect balanced growth and is leaving the economy largely exposed to developments in global markets. A strong outlook for investment has ......
- The world economy.
CHAPTER II. THE WORLD ECONOMY(1) The overall outlook Developments since our last forecast three months ago have been dominated by fears of accelerating inflation and the policy responses to them. Domestic price developments have remained moderate, but both oil prices and the prices of a number of industrial materials, especially ......
- Midyear economic outlook: hanging in the
balance.
Midyear economic outlook: Hanging in the balance As during January, interest rate differentials, especially between the U.S. and Germany, seem the important economic factor to watch. But with a difference. The pattern of opposing interest rate trends of 1990 and early 1991 may turn upside down by late this year....