India: Although India has the potential to influence commodity
markets in the future, it will be many years More India's raw
material demand and commodity consumption approaches those of China due
to its economic reliance on services rather than manufacturing. However,
some analysts already
detect India's influence on the oil market
due to the country's transportation needs. And in the metals
sector, metal companies' investments in the country are expected to
reach $86 billion in 2006, up from 7% at the start of 2004, according to
Morgan Stanley. But in contrast to China's booming demand, India
accounts for only 2% of the global demand for copper, aluminum and
nickel. Citigroup estimates India's per capita steel consumption is
20% and 10% of China's and the US', respectively. Also, India
maintains large supplies of iron ore, some coal types and bauxite. Also,
India's aluminum and alumina capacities are forecast to increase
35% and 70%, respectively, by 2008, according to Morgan Stanley.
However, India remains reliant on imports of copper concentrates, nickel
and coking oil, with its demand for copper concentrates and nickel
surpassing that of China.
Source: Wall Street Journal