Business Editors
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Aug. 22, 2002
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. analyst Glenn Schorr, CFA, launched coverage of the brokerage sector today with the initiation of five brokerage firms: Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH), Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER), and Morgan Stanley
According to Schorr, there are currently a combination of cyclical and structural issues that are weighing on the brokerage industry. "While a better economy would help cure cyclical issues, structural issues such as excess capital and competition, ongoing margin compression, and the disintermediation of the cash equity business will likely weigh on profitability and valuations for the foreseeable future."
Schorr believes that while the sector has been battered by a host of issues, on a positive note, independent broker dealers have sustained double-digit ROEs and respectable pre-tax margins throughout the downturn. In addition, he notes that there is some pent-up demand to raise both debt and equity, the M&A outlook will ultimately turn positive, and certain businesses such as derivatives and prime brokerage are still in a growth phase.
"Given this environment we recommend exposure to companies with a more balanced business mix that can be defensive should the fixed income cycle extend, yet would fully participate in a recovery in equities," said Schorr.
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